Qualification · Qualification 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

54.38 – 85.56

40%60%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

20 – 80

Prediction correct · off by 20 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±69.3

2212The Spikes

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 7.04Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

11471Neon

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 23.86Rank 17Record 4-8-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

1937Elysium

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 23.48Rank 21Record 4-8-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±69.3

78458BIT

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 67.72Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

4320The Joker

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 12.87Rank 12Record 5-7-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

11332Sunrise

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 4.97Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2212, 11471, 1937

/ 100 compat

Projected

54.4 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 2212, 11471, 1937

Auto

5.0 9%

Teleop

34.6 64%

Endgame

14.5 27%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7845, 4320, 11332

/ 100 compat

Projected

85.6 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 7845, 4320, 11332

Auto

33.7 44%

Teleop

34.1 45%

Endgame

8.7 11%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.27 · Blue 1.73

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score54.4pts

Blue projected score85.6pts

Red win probability40%

Event bonus sample128alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 41%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 8%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -31.2
Score range: 17–123
Upset likelihood: 40%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 100 vs event baseline 203.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

0Season APEX0

5Auto33.7

34.6Teleop34.1

14.5Endgame8.7

0Consistency3

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	10	4
teleop	7	75
endgame	3	1
foul	0	0
total	20	80

Result

Final score

20 – 80

Prediction correct · off by 20 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree