Qualification · Qualification 19

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

207.75 – 280.78

29%71%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

354 – 130

Prediction missed · off by 148.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±69.3

1942Cinderella Tel-Nof

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 97.33Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

11471Neon

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 16.84Rank 17Record 4-8-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

5614Team Sycamore

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 93.58Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±69.3

11070RoboRex

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 66.24Rank 13Record 5-7-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

7177Turismo

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 57.63Rank 18Record 4-8-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

3316D-Bug

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 156.91Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1942, 11471, 5614

/ 100 compat

Projected

207.8 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 1942, 11471, 5614

Auto

30.5 15%

Teleop

148.7 72%

Endgame

26.2 13%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11070, 7177, 3316

/ 100 compat

Projected

280.8 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 11070, 7177, 3316

Auto

45.0 17%

Teleop

171.0 66%

Endgame

44.8 17%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.2 · Blue 2.03

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score207.8pts

Blue projected score280.8pts

Red win probability29%

Event bonus sample128alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 49%, blue 50%

Supercharged bonusred 11%, blue 8%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -73
Score range: 176–313
Upset likelihood: 29%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 484 vs event baseline 178.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

0Season APEX0

30.5Auto45

148.7Teleop171

26.2Endgame44.8

115Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	36	17
teleop	227	44
endgame	91	49
foul	0	20
total	354	130

Result

Final score

354 – 130

Prediction missed · off by 148.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree