Qualification · Qualification 18

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

52.49 – 278.62

6%94%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

102 – 282

Prediction correct · off by 26.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±69.3

4320The Joker

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 28.74Rank 12Record 5-7-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

1937Elysium

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX -18.48Rank 21Record 4-8-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

2230General Angels

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 42.23Rank 11Record 5-7-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 298.4 ±57.8

11390Habsor

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX -9.61Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

5928MetalBoost

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 20.06Rank 24Record 2-10-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

3075Ha-Dream Team

Provisional

Season APEX 298.4Event APEX 268.17Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4320, 1937, 2230

/ 100 compat

Projected

52.5 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 4320, 1937, 2230

Auto

-2.5 0%

Teleop

26.8 65%

Endgame

16.7 41%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11390, 5928, 3075

/ 100 compat

Projected

278.6 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 11390, 5928, 3075

Auto

54.4 19%

Teleop

163.7 57%

Endgame

67.1 24%

Strengths

· 3075 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.68 · Blue 2.45

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score52.5pts

Blue projected score278.6pts

Red win probability6%

Event bonus sample128alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 49%, blue 48%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -226.1
Score range: 20–311
Upset likelihood: 6%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 384 vs event baseline 177.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

0Season APEX298.4

-2.5Auto54.4

26.8Teleop163.7

16.7Endgame67.1

31Consistency77

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	42	66
teleop	42	145
endgame	18	71
foul	0	0
total	102	282

Result

Final score

102 – 282

Prediction correct · off by 26.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree