Qualification · Qualification 17

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

247.56 – 8.48

95%5%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

277 – 10

Prediction correct · off by 15.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±69.3

5715DRC

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 80.15Rank 9Record 6-6-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

1943Neat Team

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 52.69Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

8175Piece of Mind

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 114.72Rank 5Record 7-5-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±69.3

11332Sunrise

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX -2.23Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

11329G-Force

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX -14.27Rank 20Record 4-8-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

2212The Spikes

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 24.98Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5715, 1943, 8175

/ 100 compat

Projected

247.6 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 5715, 1943, 8175

Auto

40.5 18%

Teleop

109.8 48%

Endgame

80.7 35%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11332, 11329, 2212

/ 100 compat

Projected

8.5 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 11332, 11329, 2212

Auto

19.3 100%

Teleop

-2.8 0%

Endgame

-11.1 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.57 · Blue 0.56

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score247.6pts

Blue projected score8.5pts

Red win probability95%

Event bonus sample128alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 58%, blue 41%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 239.1
Score range: -24–280
Upset likelihood: 5%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 287 vs event baseline 179.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

0Season APEX0

40.5Auto19.3

109.8Teleop-2.8

80.7Endgame-11.1

0Consistency35

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	37	9
teleop	176	1
endgame	64	0
foul	0	0
total	277	10

Result

Final score

277 – 10

Prediction correct · off by 15.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree