Qualification · Qualification 15

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

179.44 – 52.51

83%17%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

175 – 33

Prediction correct · off by 12 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±69.3

1942Cinderella Tel-Nof

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 99.34Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

11070RoboRex

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 62.35Rank 13Record 5-7-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

5990TRIGON

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 17.75Rank 19Record 4-8-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±69.3

5928MetalBoost

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 28.6Rank 24Record 2-10-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

4320The Joker

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 34.34Rank 12Record 5-7-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

11390Habsor

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX -10.43Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1942, 11070, 5990

/ 100 compat

Projected

179.4 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 1942, 11070, 5990

Auto

37.3 24%

Teleop

127.2 80%

Endgame

-6.0 0%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5928, 4320, 11390

/ 100 compat

Projected

52.5 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 5928, 4320, 11390

Auto

5.5 10%

Teleop

22.6 42%

Endgame

25.2 47%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.27 · Blue 0.86

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score179.4pts

Blue projected score52.5pts

Red win probability83%

Event bonus sample128alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 53%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 126.9
Score range: 19–213
Upset likelihood: 17%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 208 vs event baseline 188.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

0Season APEX0

37.3Auto5.5

127.2Teleop22.6

-6Endgame25.2

141Consistency108

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	34	12
teleop	121	9
endgame	20	12
foul	0	0
total	175	33

Result

Final score

175 – 33

Prediction correct · off by 12 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree