Qualification · Qualification 13

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

162 – 226.2

31%69%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

130 – 325

Prediction correct · off by 65.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±69.3

2230General Angels

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 38.93Rank 11Record 5-7-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

11329G-Force

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX -11.73Rank 20Record 4-8-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

8175Piece of Mind

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 134.8Rank 5Record 7-5-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±69.3

4744Ninjas

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 181.43Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

2212The Spikes

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 11.99Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

1943Neat Team

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 32.78Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2230, 11329, 8175

/ 100 compat

Projected

162 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 2230, 11329, 8175

Auto

34.8 23%

Teleop

83.1 56%

Endgame

31.5 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4744, 2212, 1943

/ 100 compat

Projected

226.2 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 4744, 2212, 1943

Auto

52.1 24%

Teleop

140.5 64%

Endgame

25.7 12%

Strengths

· 4744 anchors offense

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.26 · Blue 1.94

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score162pts

Blue projected score226.2pts

Red win probability31%

Event bonus sample128alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 56%, blue 50%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -64.2
Score range: 129–259
Upset likelihood: 31%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Combined score 455 vs event baseline 184.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

0Season APEX0

34.8Auto52.1

83.1Teleop140.5

31.5Endgame25.7

68Consistency152

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	18	63
teleop	65	184
endgame	47	78
foul	0	0
total	130	325

Result

Final score

130 – 325

Prediction correct · off by 65.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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