Qualification · Qualification 12

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

78.9 – 48.76

59%41%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

113 – 72

Prediction correct · off by 28.7 points

Limited current-season data (11 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±69.3

11070RoboRex

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 57.71Rank 13Record 5-7-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

11390Habsor

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX -26.29Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

6740G3 - Glue Gun & Glitter

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 47.48Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±69.3

78458BIT

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 23.19Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

5990TRIGON

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 15.68Rank 19Record 4-8-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

5928MetalBoost

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 9.89Rank 24Record 2-10-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11070, 11390, 6740

/ 100 compat

Projected

78.9 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 11070, 11390, 6740

Auto

26.9 34%

Teleop

72.9 91%

Endgame

-19.9 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7845, 5990, 5928

/ 100 compat

Projected

48.8 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 7845, 5990, 5928

Auto

7.4 28%

Teleop

27.2 100%

Endgame

-7.8 0%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.79 · Blue 1.3

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score78.9pts

Blue projected score48.8pts

Red win probability59%

Event bonus sample128alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 42%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 30.1
Score range: 14–114
Upset likelihood: 41%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 185 vs event baseline 193.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

0Season APEX0

26.9Auto7.4

72.9Teleop27.2

-19.9Endgame-7.8

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	33
teleop	55	29
endgame	37	10
foul	0	0
total	113	72

Result

Final score

113 – 72

Prediction correct · off by 28.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree