Playoff · Playoff Match 9 R3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

299.98 – 105.7

92%8%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

294 – 103

Prediction correct · off by 4.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 260.5 ±57.8

10935Krono

Provisional

Season APEX 260.5Event APEX 46.23Rank 18Record 4-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

1574MisCar

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 160.64Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

3083Artemis

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 93.11Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±69.3

4416Skynet

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 65.44Rank 11Record 5-7-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

3835Vulcan

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 20.18Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

9738Ionic Bond

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 20.08Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10935, 1574, 3083

/ 100 compat

Projected

300 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 10935, 1574, 3083

Auto

43.0 15%

Teleop

177.3 61%

Endgame

70.9 24%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 16%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4416, 3835, 9738

/ 100 compat

Projected

105.7 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 4416, 3835, 9738

Auto

23.3 24%

Teleop

60.0 61%

Endgame

15.3 16%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 16%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.6 · Blue 1

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score300pts

Blue projected score105.7pts

Red win probability92%

Event bonus sample138alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 59%, blue 63%

Supercharged bonusred 16%, blue 18%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 194.3
Score range: 56–350
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 397 vs event baseline 275.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

260.5Season APEX0

43Auto23.3

177.3Teleop60

70.9Endgame15.3

8Consistency16

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	52	8
teleop	179	48
endgame	63	47
foul	0	0
total	294	103

Result

Final score

294 – 103

Prediction correct · off by 4.3 pts