Playoff · Playoff Match 3 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

478.35 – 151.56

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

575 – 127

Prediction correct · off by 60.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 622.4 ±43.5

4590GreenBlitz

Provisional

Season APEX 339.5Event APEX 250.64Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

2679Atlantis

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 31.22Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

1577Steampunk

Provisional

Season APEX 282.9Event APEX 196.49Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±69.3

9303PORTAL

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 59.07Rank 10Record 6-6-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

3065Jatt High School

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 63.31Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

9740CANBus in memory of Roney Tal

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 29.18Rank 21Record 4-8-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4590, 2679, 1577

/ 100 compat

Projected

478.4 pts

~2.8 RP (district)

Teams: 4590, 2679, 1577

Auto

89.2 19%

Teleop

278.9 60%

Endgame

93.9 20%

Strengths

· 4590 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 22%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9303, 3065, 9740

/ 100 compat

Projected

151.6 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 9303, 3065, 9740

Auto

42.5 30%

Teleop

66.9 47%

Endgame

33.1 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 22%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.79 · Blue 0.85

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score478.4pts

Blue projected score151.6pts

Red win probability98%

Event bonus sample138alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 59%, blue 63%

Supercharged bonusred 22%, blue 16%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 326.8
Score range: 103–527
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 702 vs event baseline 273.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

622.4Season APEX0

89.2Auto42.5

278.9Teleop66.9

93.9Endgame33.1

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	141	36
teleop	328	31
endgame	106	60
foul	0	0
total	575	127

Result

Final score

575 – 127

Prediction correct · off by 60.6 pts