Playoff · Playoff Match 1 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

764.77 – 69.25

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

956 – 92

Prediction correct · off by 107 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 807.9 ±42.7

11480EXODUS

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 21.71Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

2231OnyxTronix

Season APEX 365.5Event APEX 290.57Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 77

1690Orbit

Season APEX 442.4Event APEX 452.49Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 80

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±69.3

3211The Y Team

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 2.04Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

7067Team Streak

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 45.54Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

1580The Blue Monkeys

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 21.67Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11480, 2231, 1690

/ 100 compat

Projected

764.8 pts

~2.9 RP (district)

Teams: 11480, 2231, 1690

Auto

128.1 17%

Teleop

480.4 63%

Endgame

157.7 21%

Strengths

· 1690 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 34%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3211, 7067, 1580

/ 100 compat

Projected

69.3 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 3211, 7067, 1580

Auto

19.4 30%

Teleop

19.1 29%

Endgame

26.7 41%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 34%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.87 · Blue 0.77

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score764.8pts

Blue projected score69.3pts

Red win probability98%

Event bonus sample138alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 55%, blue 60%

Supercharged bonusred 34%, blue 12%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 695.5
Score range: 21–813
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 1048 vs event baseline 268.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

807.9Season APEX0

128.1Auto19.4

480.4Teleop19.1

157.7Endgame26.7

0Consistency1

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	130	21
teleop	590	47
endgame	236	24
foul	0	0
total	956	92

Result

Final score

956 – 92

Prediction correct · off by 107 pts

Match videos

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