Playoff · Playoff Match 13 R5

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

479.53 – 309.32

89%11%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

368 – 292

Prediction correct · off by 64.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 622.4 ±43.5

1577Steampunk

Provisional

Season APEX 282.9Event APEX 197.82Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

2679Atlantis

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 31.92Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

4590GreenBlitz

Provisional

Season APEX 339.5Event APEX 249.79Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 260.5 ±57.8

10935Krono

Provisional

Season APEX 260.5Event APEX 50.38Rank 18Record 4-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

1574MisCar

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 163.6Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

3083Artemis

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 95.34Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1577, 2679, 4590

/ 100 compat

Projected

479.5 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 1577, 2679, 4590

Auto

96.6 21%

Teleop

286.1 61%

Endgame

86.4 18%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 22%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10935, 1574, 3083

/ 100 compat

Projected

309.3 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 10935, 1574, 3083

Auto

48.0 16%

Teleop

180.1 60%

Endgame

72.8 24%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 22%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.62 · Blue 0.98

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score479.5pts

Blue projected score309.3pts

Red win probability89%

Event bonus sample138alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 59%, blue 59%

Supercharged bonusred 22%, blue 16%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 170.2
Score range: 259–530
Upset likelihood: 11%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 660 vs event baseline 277.9.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

622.4Season APEX260.5

96.6Auto48

286.1Teleop180.1

86.4Endgame72.8

2Consistency14

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	107	64
teleop	177	152
endgame	84	61
foul	0	15
total	368	292

Result

Final score

368 – 292

Prediction correct · off by 64.4 pts