Qualification · Qualification 53

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

335.14 – 513.47

10%90%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

197 – 558

Prediction correct · off by 91.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 543.4 ±43.5

10935Krono

Provisional

Season APEX 260.5Event APEX 47.58Rank 18Record 4-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

3065Jatt High School

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 76.84Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

1577Steampunk

Provisional

Season APEX 282.9Event APEX 210.72Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 442.4 ±57.4

9740CANBus in memory of Roney Tal

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 26.01Rank 21Record 4-8-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

1690Orbit

Season APEX 442.4Event APEX 447.77Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 80

7067Team Streak

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 39.69Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10935, 3065, 1577

/ 100 compat

Projected

335.1 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 10935, 3065, 1577

Auto

68.8 21%

Teleop

187.3 57%

Endgame

73.3 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 20%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9740, 1690, 7067

/ 100 compat

Projected

513.5 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 9740, 1690, 7067

Auto

88.8 17%

Teleop

317.1 62%

Endgame

105.0 21%

Strengths

· 1690 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 20%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.02 · Blue 2.64

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score335.1pts

Blue projected score513.5pts

Red win probability10%

Event bonus sample138alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 61%, blue 63%

Supercharged bonusred 20%, blue 18%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -178.3
Score range: 287–561
Upset likelihood: 10%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Combined score 755 vs event baseline 265.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

543.4Season APEX442.4

68.8Auto88.8

187.3Teleop317.1

73.3Endgame105

0Consistency39

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	81	97
teleop	115	321
endgame	1	140
foul	0	0
total	197	558

Result

Final score

197 – 558

Prediction correct · off by 91.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree