Qualification · Qualification 50

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

84.91 – 528.36

2%98%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

18 – 580

Prediction correct · off by 59.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 260.5 ±57.8

10935Krono

Provisional

Season APEX 260.5Event APEX 53.65Rank 18Record 4-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

11480EXODUS

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 29.37Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

3211The Y Team

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 1.89Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 442.4 ±57.4

1690Orbit

Season APEX 442.4Event APEX 441.26Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 80

9303PORTAL

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 60.41Rank 10Record 6-6-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

9738Ionic Bond

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 26.69Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10935, 11480, 3211

/ 100 compat

Projected

84.9 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 10935, 11480, 3211

Auto

17.5 22%

Teleop

38.4 47%

Endgame

25.0 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 15%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1690, 9303, 9738

/ 100 compat

Projected

528.4 pts

~2.9 RP (district)

Teams: 1690, 9303, 9738

Auto

98.4 19%

Teleop

307.6 59%

Endgame

116.4 22%

Strengths

· 1690 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 15%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.69 · Blue 2.92

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score84.9pts

Blue projected score528.4pts

Red win probability2%

Event bonus sample138alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 48%, blue 61%

Supercharged bonusred 15%, blue 33%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -443.4
Score range: 37–576
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 598 vs event baseline 266.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

260.5Season APEX442.4

17.5Auto98.4

38.4Teleop307.6

25Endgame116.4

0Consistency13

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	12	87
teleop	6	371
endgame	0	122
foul	0	0
total	18	580

Result

Final score

18 – 580

Prediction correct · off by 59.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree