Qualification · Qualification 49

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

263.23 – 177.97

74%26%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

316 – 239

Prediction correct · off by 56.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 307.7 ±57.8

7039❌⭕

Provisional

Season APEX 307.7Event APEX 154.46Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

3065Jatt High School

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 74.64Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

7067Team Streak

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 34.13Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 296.4 ±57.6

5135Black Unicorns

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX -18.43Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

3339BumbleB

A+

Season APEX 296.4Event APEX 161.25Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 77

6738Excalibur

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 35.15Rank 26Record 3-9-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7039, 3065, 7067

/ 100 compat

Projected

263.2 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 7039, 3065, 7067

Auto

47.7 18%

Teleop

141.9 55%

Endgame

69.6 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5135, 3339, 6738

/ 100 compat

Projected

178 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 5135, 3339, 6738

Auto

37.1 21%

Teleop

88.8 51%

Endgame

49.2 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.26 · Blue 1.26

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score263.2pts

Blue projected score178pts

Red win probability74%

Event bonus sample138alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 63%, blue 55%

Supercharged bonusred 13%, blue 17%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 85.3
Score range: 130–311
Upset likelihood: 26%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 555 vs event baseline 266.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

307.7Season APEX296.4

47.7Auto37.1

141.9Teleop88.8

69.6Endgame49.2

11Consistency15

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	97	38
teleop	154	141
endgame	65	55
foul	0	5
total	316	239

Result

Final score

316 – 239

Prediction correct · off by 56.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree