Qualification · Qualification 47

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

59.77 – 123.33

31%69%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

62 – 148

Prediction correct · off by 13.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±69.3

5635Demacia

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 35.23Rank 19Record 4-8-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

9740CANBus in memory of Roney Tal

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 25.39Rank 21Record 4-8-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

9739Firefly

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX -0.85Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±69.3

3083Artemis

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 65.56Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

2679Atlantis

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 32.96Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

1580The Blue Monkeys

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 24.81Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5635, 9740, 9739

/ 100 compat

Projected

59.8 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 5635, 9740, 9739

Auto

30.7 58%

Teleop

9.0 17%

Endgame

12.9 25%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 16%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3083, 2679, 1580

/ 100 compat

Projected

123.3 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 3083, 2679, 1580

Auto

18.3 16%

Teleop

77.0 67%

Endgame

20.2 17%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 16%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.38 · Blue 2.08

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score59.8pts

Blue projected score123.3pts

Red win probability31%

Event bonus sample138alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 58%, blue 55%

Supercharged bonusred 16%, blue 14%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -63.6
Score range: 11–172
Upset likelihood: 31%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 210 vs event baseline 270.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

0Season APEX0

30.7Auto18.3

9Teleop77

12.9Endgame20.2

31Consistency4

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	28
teleop	31	86
endgame	17	29
foul	0	5
total	62	148

Result

Final score

62 – 148

Prediction correct · off by 13.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree