Qualification · Qualification 44

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

128.29 – 225.64

23%77%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

165 – 380

Prediction correct · off by 95.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±69.3

3835Vulcan

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 30.01Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

3083Artemis

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 64.5Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

5635Demacia

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 33.78Rank 19Record 4-8-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 296.4 ±57.6

11480EXODUS

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 18.24Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

3339BumbleB

A+

Season APEX 296.4Event APEX 146.36Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 77

3065Jatt High School

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 61.04Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3835, 3083, 5635

/ 100 compat

Projected

128.3 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 3835, 3083, 5635

Auto

34.5 28%

Teleop

80.5 65%

Endgame

9.7 8%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 17%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11480, 3339, 3065

/ 100 compat

Projected

225.6 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 11480, 3339, 3065

Auto

51.1 23%

Teleop

122.8 55%

Endgame

48.2 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 17%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.28 · Blue 2.28

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score128.3pts

Blue projected score225.6pts

Red win probability23%

Event bonus sample138alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 63%, blue 54%

Supercharged bonusred 17%, blue 17%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -97.3
Score range: 80–274
Upset likelihood: 23%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 545 vs event baseline 264.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

0Season APEX296.4

34.5Auto51.1

80.5Teleop122.8

9.7Endgame48.2

10Consistency14

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	22	65
teleop	106	205
endgame	37	105
foul	0	5
total	165	380

Result

Final score

165 – 380

Prediction correct · off by 95.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree