Qualification · Qualification 40

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

206.44 – 326.9

18%82%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

241 – 283

Prediction correct · off by 39.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±69.3

7067Team Streak

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 40.85Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

8223Mariners

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 101.97Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

3083Artemis

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 63.62Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 307.7 ±57.8

11480EXODUS

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 22.91Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

7039❌⭕

Provisional

Season APEX 307.7Event APEX 148.89Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

1574MisCar

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 155.1Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7067, 8223, 3083

/ 100 compat

Projected

206.4 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 7067, 8223, 3083

Auto

24.2 12%

Teleop

136.4 66%

Endgame

45.1 22%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11480, 7039, 1574

/ 100 compat

Projected

326.9 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 11480, 7039, 1574

Auto

54.7 17%

Teleop

198.1 61%

Endgame

73.1 22%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.12 · Blue 2.34

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score206.4pts

Blue projected score326.9pts

Red win probability18%

Event bonus sample138alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 61%, blue 55%

Supercharged bonusred 13%, blue 14%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -120.5
Score range: 159–374
Upset likelihood: 18%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 524 vs event baseline 259.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

0Season APEX307.7

24.2Auto54.7

136.4Teleop198.1

45.1Endgame73.1

11Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	43	63
teleop	145	151
endgame	53	64
foul	0	5
total	241	283

Result

Final score

241 – 283

Prediction correct · off by 39.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree