Qualification · Qualification 38

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

483.98 – 53.28

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

482 – 155

Prediction correct · off by 51.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 661.9 ±42.9

2679Atlantis

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 36.05Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

3339BumbleB

A+

Season APEX 296.4Event APEX 150.31Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 77

2231OnyxTronix

Season APEX 365.5Event APEX 297.62Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 77

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±69.3

3211The Y Team

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX -5.54Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

9738Ionic Bond

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 5.8Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

3065Jatt High School

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 53.02Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2679, 3339, 2231

/ 100 compat

Projected

484 pts

~2.8 RP (district)

Teams: 2679, 3339, 2231

Auto

88.2 19%

Teleop

289.8 62%

Endgame

90.4 19%

Strengths

· 2231 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 24%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3211, 9738, 3065

/ 100 compat

Projected

53.3 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 3211, 9738, 3065

Auto

29.8 62%

Teleop

-5.3 0%

Endgame

23.8 49%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 24%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.84 · Blue 0.79

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score484pts

Blue projected score53.3pts

Red win probability98%

Event bonus sample138alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 59%

Supercharged bonusred 24%, blue 15%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 430.7
Score range: 6–531
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 637 vs event baseline 259.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

661.9Season APEX0

88.2Auto29.8

289.8Teleop-5.3

90.4Endgame23.8

30Consistency58

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	36	32
teleop	312	66
endgame	134	32
foul	0	25
total	482	155

Result

Final score

482 – 155

Prediction correct · off by 51.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree