Qualification · Qualification 35

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

610.91 – 0

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

517 – 86

Prediction correct · off by 90 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 705 ±43.2

3083Artemis

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 81.63Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

2231OnyxTronix

Season APEX 365.5Event APEX 302.63Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 77

4590GreenBlitz

Provisional

Season APEX 339.5Event APEX 226.65Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±69.3

9739Firefly

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX -23.4Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

3211The Y Team

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX -20.11Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

7067Team Streak

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 31.58Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3083, 2231, 4590

/ 100 compat

Projected

610.9 pts

~2.9 RP (district)

Teams: 3083, 2231, 4590

Auto

111.6 18%

Teleop

397.5 65%

Endgame

98.3 16%

Strengths

· 2231 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 29%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9739, 3211, 7067

/ 100 compat

Projected

-11.9 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 9739, 3211, 7067

Auto

17.7 0%

Teleop

-45.6 100%

Endgame

-0.2 1%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 29%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.9 · Blue 0.7

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score610.9pts

Blue projected score-11.9pts

Red win probability98%

Event bonus sample138alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 53%

Supercharged bonusred 29%, blue 12%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 610.9
Score range: -47–658
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 603 vs event baseline 262.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

705Season APEX0

111.6Auto17.7

397.5Teleop-45.6

98.3Endgame-0.2

0Consistency25

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	70	15
teleop	335	36
endgame	107	35
foul	5	0
total	517	86

Result

Final score

517 – 86

Prediction correct · off by 90 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree