Qualification · Qualification 31

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

108.33 – 262.86

13%87%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

55 – 357

Prediction correct · off by 73.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±69.3

7067Team Streak

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 36.7Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

1580The Blue Monkeys

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 51.27Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

11480EXODUS

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 20.36Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±69.3

8223Mariners

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 89.38Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

1574MisCar

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 130.6Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

5635Demacia

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 42.88Rank 19Record 4-8-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7067, 1580, 11480

/ 100 compat

Projected

108.3 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 7067, 1580, 11480

Auto

14.0 13%

Teleop

46.8 45%

Endgame

43.7 42%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8223, 1574, 5635

/ 100 compat

Projected

262.9 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 8223, 1574, 5635

Auto

34.5 13%

Teleop

175.0 67%

Endgame

52.6 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.91 · Blue 2.63

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score108.3pts

Blue projected score262.9pts

Red win probability13%

Event bonus sample138alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 70%

Supercharged bonusred 13%, blue 17%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -154.5
Score range: 61–310
Upset likelihood: 13%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 412 vs event baseline 261.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

0Season APEX0

14Auto34.5

46.8Teleop175

43.7Endgame52.6

38Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	49
teleop	24	208
endgame	16	100
foul	0	0
total	55	357

Result

Final score

55 – 357

Prediction correct · off by 73.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree