Qualification · Qualification 30

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

40.43 – 58.32

44%56%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

70 – 55

Prediction missed · off by 16.4 points

red allianceΣ Season APEX 57.5 ±19.1

4586PRIMO

Season APEX 57.4Event APEX 72.72Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 76

10986Negev Dominion

Season APEX -30.5Event APEX -26.83Rank 27Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 76

9738Ionic Bond

Season APEX 30.6Event APEX -5.46Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 76

blue allianceΣ Season APEX 106.8 ±17.5

9740CANBus in memory of Roney Tal

Season APEX 31.1Event APEX 36.23Rank 21Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 76

5135Black Unicorns

Season APEX -11.8Event APEX -4.87Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 76

10935Krono

Season APEX 87.5Event APEX 26.96Rank 18Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 94

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -17.9
Score range: -8–106
Upset likelihood: 44%
Data cutoff: 2026-07-01
Model: apex-0.2.0

Match context

Upset

Close match

Combined score 125 vs event baseline 268.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

57.5Season APEX106.8

14.7Auto10.5

25.6Teleop15

-4.8Endgame21.5

80Consistency46

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	18	18
teleop	20	23
endgame	32	14
foul	0	0
total	70	55

Result

Final score

70 – 55

Prediction missed · score err 16.4

FIRST/TBA score reconciliation:

agree