Qualification · Qualification 29

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

142.62 – 507.04

2%98%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

110 – 685

Prediction correct · off by 105.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±69.3

3065Jatt High School

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 65.02Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

3835Vulcan

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 49.86Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

2679Atlantis

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 27.74Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 648.4 ±43.2

6738Excalibur

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 18.64Rank 26Record 3-9-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

2231OnyxTronix

Season APEX 365.5Event APEX 271.1Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 77

1577Steampunk

Provisional

Season APEX 282.9Event APEX 217.3Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3065, 3835, 2679

/ 100 compat

Projected

142.6 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 3065, 3835, 2679

Auto

32.6 27%

Teleop

61.4 51%

Endgame

25.5 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 14%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6738, 2231, 1577

/ 100 compat

Projected

507 pts

~2.8 RP (district)

Teams: 6738, 2231, 1577

Auto

102.6 20%

Teleop

322.0 64%

Endgame

80.5 16%

Strengths

· 2231 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 14%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.78 · Blue 2.83

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score142.6pts

Blue projected score507pts

Red win probability2%

Event bonus sample138alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 58%, blue 61%

Supercharged bonusred 14%, blue 25%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -364.4
Score range: 95–555
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 795 vs event baseline 264.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

0Season APEX648.4

32.6Auto102.6

61.4Teleop322

25.5Endgame80.5

21Consistency70

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	29	99
teleop	32	436
endgame	39	150
foul	10	0
total	110	685

Result

Final score

110 – 685

Prediction correct · off by 105.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree