Qualification · Qualification 24

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

254.05 – 425.09

11%89%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

205 – 356

Prediction correct · off by 59.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 296.4 ±57.6

3339BumbleB

A+

Season APEX 296.4Event APEX 134.14Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 77

9740CANBus in memory of Roney Tal

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 46.09Rank 21Record 4-8-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

3083Artemis

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 73.82Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 365.5 ±57.6

2231OnyxTronix

Season APEX 365.5Event APEX 294.83Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 77

7067Team Streak

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 47.16Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

4586PRIMO

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 83.1Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3339, 9740, 3083

/ 100 compat

Projected

254.1 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 3339, 9740, 3083

Auto

59.3 24%

Teleop

150.3 61%

Endgame

38.1 15%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 15%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2231, 7067, 4586

/ 100 compat

Projected

425.1 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 2231, 7067, 4586

Auto

69.3 16%

Teleop

243.6 58%

Endgame

109.7 26%

Strengths

· 2231 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 15%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.01 · Blue 2.64

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score254.1pts

Blue projected score425.1pts

Red win probability11%

Event bonus sample138alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 63%, blue 64%

Supercharged bonusred 15%, blue 19%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -171
Score range: 207–472
Upset likelihood: 11%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 561 vs event baseline 263.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

296.4Season APEX365.5

59.3Auto69.3

150.3Teleop243.6

38.1Endgame109.7

82Consistency23

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	54	73
teleop	128	227
endgame	13	41
foul	10	15
total	205	356

Result

Final score

205 – 356

Prediction correct · off by 59.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree