Qualification · Qualification 23

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

211.85 – 269.98

33%67%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

411 – 270

Prediction missed · off by 99.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 339.5 ±57.8

4590GreenBlitz

Provisional

Season APEX 339.5Event APEX 210.39Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

5135Black Unicorns

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX -37.11Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

4416Skynet

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 38.57Rank 11Record 5-7-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±69.3

1574MisCar

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 159.37Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

1580The Blue Monkeys

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 49.31Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

3065Jatt High School

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 61.3Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4590, 5135, 4416

/ 100 compat

Projected

211.8 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 4590, 5135, 4416

Auto

41.7 20%

Teleop

152.2 74%

Endgame

12.3 6%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 22%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1574, 1580, 3065

/ 100 compat

Projected

270 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 1574, 1580, 3065

Auto

51.0 20%

Teleop

111.6 44%

Endgame

93.0 36%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 22%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.5 · Blue 2.17

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score211.8pts

Blue projected score270pts

Red win probability33%

Event bonus sample138alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 60%, blue 65%

Supercharged bonusred 22%, blue 15%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -58.1
Score range: 165–317
Upset likelihood: 33%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 681 vs event baseline 260.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

339.5Season APEX0

41.7Auto51

152.2Teleop111.6

12.3Endgame93

59Consistency18

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	67	60
teleop	221	135
endgame	123	75
foul	0	0
total	411	270

Result

Final score

411 – 270

Prediction missed · off by 99.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree