Qualification · Qualification 21

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

134.04 – 226.86

24%76%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

65 – 481

Prediction correct · off by 161.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±69.3

7067Team Streak

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 66.35Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

6738Excalibur

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 19.55Rank 26Record 3-9-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

2679Atlantis

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 48.14Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 282.9 ±57.8

9303PORTAL

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 6.83Rank 10Record 6-6-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

1577Steampunk

Provisional

Season APEX 282.9Event APEX 189.66Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

3083Artemis

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 30.37Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7067, 6738, 2679

/ 100 compat

Projected

134 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 7067, 6738, 2679

Auto

13.7 11%

Teleop

56.7 46%

Endgame

52.2 43%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9303, 1577, 3083

/ 100 compat

Projected

226.9 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 9303, 1577, 3083

Auto

46.6 22%

Teleop

163.6 78%

Endgame

-1.1 0%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.14 · Blue 2.34

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score134pts

Blue projected score226.9pts

Red win probability24%

Event bonus sample138alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 60%

Supercharged bonusred 12%, blue 20%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -92.8
Score range: 85–276
Upset likelihood: 24%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 546 vs event baseline 270.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

0Season APEX282.9

13.7Auto46.6

56.7Teleop163.6

52.2Endgame-1.1

82Consistency127

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	9	84
teleop	37	263
endgame	19	129
foul	0	5
total	65	481

Result

Final score

65 – 481

Prediction correct · off by 161.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree