Qualification · Qualification 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

212.49 – 905.19

2%98%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

154 – 886

Prediction correct · off by 38.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±69.3

9740CANBus in memory of Roney Tal

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 26.44Rank 21Record 4-8-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

9738Ionic Bond

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 22.43Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

1574MisCar

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 163.62Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 1115.6 ±19.1

1690Orbit

Season APEX 442.4Event APEX 452.41Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 80

7039❌⭕

Provisional

Season APEX 307.7Event APEX 162.76Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

2231OnyxTronix

Season APEX 365.5Event APEX 290.02Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 77

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9740, 9738, 1574

/ 100 compat

Projected

212.5 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 9740, 9738, 1574

Auto

40.4 20%

Teleop

108.8 53%

Endgame

54.4 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 14%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1690, 7039, 2231

/ 100 compat

Projected

905.2 pts

~3.0 RP (district)

Teams: 1690, 7039, 2231

Auto

152.4 17%

Teleop

551.2 61%

Endgame

197.7 22%

Strengths

· 1690 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 14%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.82 · Blue 3

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score212.5pts

Blue projected score905.2pts

Red win probability2%

Event bonus sample138alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 68%

Supercharged bonusred 14%, blue 34%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -692.7
Score range: 160–957
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 1040 vs event baseline 286.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

0Season APEX1115.6

40.4Auto152.4

108.8Teleop551.2

54.4Endgame197.7

22Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	32	161
teleop	90	547
endgame	22	178
foul	10	0
total	154	886

Result

Final score

154 – 886

Prediction correct · off by 38.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree