Qualification · Qualification 10

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

350.74 – 20.56

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

444 – 205

Prediction correct · off by 138.9 points

Limited current-season data (9 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 626 ±43.2

2231OnyxTronix

Season APEX 365.5Event APEX 224.64Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 77

10935Krono

Provisional

Season APEX 260.5Event APEX 47.41Rank 18Record 4-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

1580The Blue Monkeys

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 78.69Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±69.3

3065Jatt High School

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX -1.17Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

7067Team Streak

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 8.15Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

10986Negev Dominion

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 13.58Rank 27Record 3-9-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2231, 10935, 1580

/ 100 compat

Projected

350.7 pts

~2.9 RP (district)

Teams: 2231, 10935, 1580

Auto

61.8 18%

Teleop

197.0 56%

Endgame

92.6 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 26%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3065, 7067, 10986

/ 100 compat

Projected

20.6 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 3065, 7067, 10986

Auto

9.2 49%

Teleop

-7.4 0%

Endgame

16.9 90%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 26%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.85 · Blue 0.76

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score350.7pts

Blue projected score20.6pts

Red win probability98%

Event bonus sample138alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 58%

Supercharged bonusred 26%, blue 12%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 330.2
Score range: -24–396
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 649 vs event baseline 250.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

626Season APEX0

61.8Auto9.2

197Teleop-7.4

92.6Endgame16.9

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	62	39
teleop	272	110
endgame	110	56
foul	0	0
total	444	205

Result

Final score

444 – 205

Prediction correct · off by 138.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree