Playoff · Playoff Match 8 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

547.46 – 357.79

91%9%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

594 – 292

Prediction correct · off by 56.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 637.9 ±43.5

11070RoboRex

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 82.17Rank 24Record 4-6-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

4590GreenBlitz

Provisional

Season APEX 339.5Event APEX 244.65Rank 3Record 8-2-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

3075Ha-Dream Team

Provisional

Season APEX 298.4Event APEX 220.64Rank 4Record 8-2-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 296.4 ±57.6

4416Skynet

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 105.98Rank 14Record 6-4-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

3339BumbleB

A+

Season APEX 296.4Event APEX 150.46Rank 17Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 77

5990TRIGON

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 101.35Rank 10Record 8-2-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11070, 4590, 3075

/ 100 compat

Projected

547.5 pts

~2.7 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 11070, 4590, 3075

Auto

100.7 18%

Teleop

298.0 54%

Endgame

148.8 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 35%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4416, 3339, 5990

/ 100 compat

Projected

357.8 pts

~0.9 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 4416, 3339, 5990

Auto

52.2 15%

Teleop

199.8 59%

Endgame

88.0 26%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 35%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 2.73 · Blue 0.93

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score547.5pts

Blue projected score357.8pts

Red win probability91%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 53%, blue 45%

Supercharged bonusred 35%, blue 28%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 189.7
Score range: 297–608
Upset likelihood: 9%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 886 vs event baseline 341.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

637.9Season APEX296.4

100.7Auto52.2

298Teleop199.8

148.8Endgame88

87Consistency14

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	142	64
teleop	252	166
endgame	200	62
foul	0	0
total	594	292

Result

Final score

594 – 292

Prediction correct · off by 56.2 pts