Playoff · Playoff Match 13 R5

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

542.5 – 344.33

92%8%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

592 – 335

Prediction correct · off by 29.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 637.9 ±43.5

11070RoboRex

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 80.32Rank 24Record 4-6-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

4590GreenBlitz

Provisional

Season APEX 339.5Event APEX 242.75Rank 3Record 8-2-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

3075Ha-Dream Team

Provisional

Season APEX 298.4Event APEX 219.43Rank 4Record 8-2-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±69.3

2230General Angels

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 114.72Rank 15Record 6-4-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

3065Jatt High School

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 92.38Rank 12Record 6-4-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

5715DRC

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 137.23Rank 16Record 4-6-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11070, 4590, 3075

/ 100 compat

Projected

542.5 pts

~2.8 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 11070, 4590, 3075

Auto

106.6 20%

Teleop

279.2 52%

Endgame

155.8 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 35%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2230, 3065, 5715

/ 100 compat

Projected

344.3 pts

~1.0 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 2230, 3065, 5715

Auto

71.8 21%

Teleop

193.9 57%

Endgame

73.1 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 35%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 2.75 · Blue 0.97

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score542.5pts

Blue projected score344.3pts

Red win probability92%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 53%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 35%, blue 30%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 198.2
Score range: 281–606
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 927 vs event baseline 347.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

637.9Season APEX0

106.6Auto71.8

279.2Teleop193.9

155.8Endgame73.1

86Consistency58

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	118	88
teleop	266	144
endgame	183	68
foul	25	35
total	592	335

Result

Final score

592 – 335

Prediction correct · off by 29.4 pts