Qualification · Qualification 7

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

221.82 – 629.46

2%98%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

320 – 758

Prediction correct · off by 113.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±69.3

11070RoboRex

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 72.99Rank 24Record 4-6-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

11390Habsor

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 11.72Rank 33Record 2-8-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

5715DRC

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 137.11Rank 16Record 4-6-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 673.2 ±43.2

78458BIT

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 124.03Rank 23Record 3-7-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

2231OnyxTronix

Season APEX 365.5Event APEX 311.66Rank 2Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 77

7039❌⭕

Provisional

Season APEX 307.7Event APEX 193.77Rank 7Record 6-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11070, 11390, 5715

/ 100 compat

Projected

221.8 pts

~0.8 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 11070, 11390, 5715

Auto

31.6 15%

Teleop

114.4 53%

Endgame

71.1 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 21%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7845, 2231, 7039

/ 100 compat

Projected

629.5 pts

~3.1 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 7845, 2231, 7039

Auto

127.0 20%

Teleop

368.5 58%

Endgame

135.1 21%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 21%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 0.79 · Blue 3.06

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score221.8pts

Blue projected score629.5pts

Red win probability2%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 65%

Supercharged bonusred 21%, blue 43%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -407.6
Score range: 158–693
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 1078 vs event baseline 355.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

0Season APEX673.2

31.6Auto127

114.4Teleop368.5

71.1Endgame135.1

88Consistency42

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	43	134
teleop	167	424
endgame	105	200
foul	5	0
total	320	758

Result

Final score

320 – 758

Prediction correct · off by 113.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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