Qualification · Qualification 57

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

449.75 – 538.86

25%75%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

461 – 566

Prediction correct · off by 19.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 594.8 ±43.2

3075Ha-Dream Team

Provisional

Season APEX 298.4Event APEX 221.09Rank 4Record 8-2-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

8175Piece of Mind

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 77.18Rank 18Record 5-5-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

3339BumbleB

A+

Season APEX 296.4Event APEX 151.48Rank 17Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 77

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 365.5 ±57.6

4744Ninjas

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 197.09Rank 9Record 6-4-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

9303PORTAL

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 51.12Rank 19Record 5-5-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

2231OnyxTronix

Season APEX 365.5Event APEX 290.65Rank 2Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 77

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3075, 8175, 3339

/ 100 compat

Projected

449.8 pts

~1.4 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 3075, 8175, 3339

Auto

99.0 22%

Teleop

245.0 55%

Endgame

103.4 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 41%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4744, 9303, 2231

/ 100 compat

Projected

538.9 pts

~2.6 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 4744, 9303, 2231

Auto

85.6 16%

Teleop

312.2 59%

Endgame

128.2 24%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 41%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 1.44 · Blue 2.56

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score449.8pts

Blue projected score538.9pts

Red win probability25%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 64%

Supercharged bonusred 41%, blue 40%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -89.1
Score range: 390–599
Upset likelihood: 25%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Combined score 1027 vs event baseline 334.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

594.8Season APEX365.5

99Auto85.6

245Teleop312.2

103.4Endgame128.2

26Consistency50

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	78	105
teleop	251	324
endgame	127	137
foul	5	0
total	461	566

Result

Final score

461 – 566

Prediction correct · off by 19.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.