Qualification · Qualification 52

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

276.9 – 491.43

6%94%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

243 – 463

Prediction correct · off by 31.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±69.3

6740G3 - Glue Gun & Glitter

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 47.88Rank 22Record 5-5-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

4586PRIMO

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 34.52Rank 30Record 3-7-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

3316D-Bug

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 194.5Rank 8Record 7-3-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±69.3

5715DRC

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 151.69Rank 16Record 4-6-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

5990TRIGON

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 113.59Rank 10Record 8-2-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

5614Team Sycamore

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 226.15Rank 6Record 7-3-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6740, 4586, 3316

/ 100 compat

Projected

276.9 pts

~0.9 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 6740, 4586, 3316

Auto

69.0 25%

Teleop

157.0 56%

Endgame

54.3 19%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 23%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5715, 5990, 5614

/ 100 compat

Projected

491.4 pts

~2.8 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 5715, 5990, 5614

Auto

59.5 13%

Teleop

292.9 63%

Endgame

114.7 25%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 23%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 0.9 · Blue 2.79

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score276.9pts

Blue projected score491.4pts

Red win probability6%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 23%, blue 34%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -214.5
Score range: 216–552
Upset likelihood: 6%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 706 vs event baseline 337.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

0Season APEX0

69Auto59.5

157Teleop292.9

54.3Endgame114.7

15Consistency29

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	58	64
teleop	132	232
endgame	53	107
foul	0	60
total	243	463

Result

Final score

243 – 463

Prediction correct · off by 31.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.