Qualification · Qualification 51

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

546.63 – 214.29

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

601 – 162

Prediction correct · off by 53.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 647.2 ±43.5

4590GreenBlitz

Provisional

Season APEX 339.5Event APEX 237.99Rank 3Record 8-2-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

7039❌⭕

Provisional

Season APEX 307.7Event APEX 206Rank 7Record 6-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

3065Jatt High School

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 102.64Rank 12Record 6-4-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±69.3

2212The Spikes

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 53.68Rank 21Record 4-6-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

3083Artemis

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 80.97Rank 26Record 5-5-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

8175Piece of Mind

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 79.64Rank 18Record 5-5-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4590, 7039, 3065

/ 100 compat

Projected

546.6 pts

~3.0 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 4590, 7039, 3065

Auto

107.1 20%

Teleop

315.6 58%

Endgame

120.3 22%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 44%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2212, 3083, 8175

/ 100 compat

Projected

214.3 pts

~0.8 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 2212, 3083, 8175

Auto

33.3 15%

Teleop

118.7 55%

Endgame

65.0 30%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 44%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 2.99 · Blue 0.75

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score546.6pts

Blue projected score214.3pts

Red win probability98%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 56%, blue 45%

Supercharged bonusred 44%, blue 23%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 332.3
Score range: 153–608
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 763 vs event baseline 336.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

647.2Season APEX0

107.1Auto33.3

315.6Teleop118.7

120.3Endgame65

20Consistency110

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	111	40
teleop	300	104
endgame	175	13
foul	15	5
total	601	162

Result

Final score

601 – 162

Prediction correct · off by 53.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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