Qualification · Qualification 45

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

379.82 – 149.01

95%5%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

434 – 224

Prediction correct · off by 64.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 339.5 ±57.8

4590GreenBlitz

Provisional

Season APEX 339.5Event APEX 230.2Rank 3Record 8-2-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

8175Piece of Mind

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 84.69Rank 18Record 5-5-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

11070RoboRex

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 64.93Rank 24Record 4-6-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 296.4 ±57.6

3339BumbleB

A+

Season APEX 296.4Event APEX 128.01Rank 17Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 77

2679Atlantis

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 4.33Rank 25Record 4-6-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

11390Habsor

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 16.67Rank 33Record 2-8-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4590, 8175, 11070

/ 100 compat

Projected

379.8 pts

~2.8 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 4590, 8175, 11070

Auto

62.0 16%

Teleop

219.0 57%

Endgame

101.0 26%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 31%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3339, 2679, 11390

/ 100 compat

Projected

149 pts

~0.9 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 3339, 2679, 11390

Auto

40.5 28%

Teleop

64.1 44%

Endgame

40.0 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 31%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 2.77 · Blue 0.88

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score379.8pts

Blue projected score149pts

Red win probability95%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 52%

Supercharged bonusred 31%, blue 24%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 230.8
Score range: 87–442
Upset likelihood: 5%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 658 vs event baseline 343.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

339.5Season APEX296.4

62Auto40.5

219Teleop64.1

101Endgame40

66Consistency33

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	89	59
teleop	265	104
endgame	80	61
foul	0	0
total	434	224

Result

Final score

434 – 224

Prediction correct · off by 64.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.