Qualification · Qualification 40

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

515.37 – 291.23

94%6%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

601 – 246

Prediction correct · off by 65.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 298.4 ±57.8

2230General Angels

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 77.33Rank 15Record 6-4-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

3075Ha-Dream Team

Provisional

Season APEX 298.4Event APEX 216.89Rank 4Record 8-2-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

5614Team Sycamore

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 221.15Rank 6Record 7-3-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±69.3

8175Piece of Mind

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 104.3Rank 18Record 5-5-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

4744Ninjas

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 172.91Rank 9Record 6-4-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

11390Habsor

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 14.02Rank 33Record 2-8-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2230, 3075, 5614

/ 100 compat

Projected

515.4 pts

~2.8 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 2230, 3075, 5614

Auto

114.9 23%

Teleop

294.7 58%

Endgame

95.5 19%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 36%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8175, 4744, 11390

/ 100 compat

Projected

291.2 pts

~1.0 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 8175, 4744, 11390

Auto

52.3 18%

Teleop

151.9 53%

Endgame

79.8 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 36%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 2.84 · Blue 1.01

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score515.4pts

Blue projected score291.2pts

Red win probability94%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 59%

Supercharged bonusred 36%, blue 28%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 224.1
Score range: 230–576
Upset likelihood: 6%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 847 vs event baseline 339.1.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

298.4Season APEX0

114.9Auto52.3

294.7Teleop151.9

95.5Endgame79.8

83Consistency43

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	145	55
teleop	289	117
endgame	167	74
foul	0	0
total	601	246

Result

Final score

601 – 246

Prediction correct · off by 65.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.