Qualification · Qualification 36

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

117.37 – 242.75

17%83%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

237 – 309

Prediction correct · off by 92.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±69.3

8175Piece of Mind

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 87.87Rank 18Record 5-5-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

4586PRIMO

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 0.96Rank 30Record 3-7-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

11480EXODUS

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 28.54Rank 27Record 4-6-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±69.3

11070RoboRex

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 60.12Rank 24Record 4-6-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

3083Artemis

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 113.02Rank 26Record 5-5-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

2230General Angels

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 69.61Rank 15Record 6-4-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8175, 4586, 11480

/ 100 compat

Projected

117.4 pts

~1.1 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 8175, 4586, 11480

Auto

49.2 44%

Teleop

49.0 44%

Endgame

12.4 11%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 26%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11070, 3083, 2230

/ 100 compat

Projected

242.8 pts

~2.3 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 11070, 3083, 2230

Auto

21.2 9%

Teleop

152.3 64%

Endgame

65.4 27%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 26%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 1.08 · Blue 2.26

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score117.4pts

Blue projected score242.8pts

Red win probability17%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 42%

Supercharged bonusred 26%, blue 16%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -125.4
Score range: 56–304
Upset likelihood: 17%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 546 vs event baseline 340.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

0Season APEX0

49.2Auto21.2

49Teleop152.3

12.4Endgame65.4

60Consistency151

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	40	64
teleop	124	140
endgame	58	105
foul	15	0
total	237	309

Result

Final score

237 – 309

Prediction correct · off by 92.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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