Qualification · Qualification 34

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

168.73 – 362.57

8%92%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

66 – 493

Prediction correct · off by 116.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±69.3

6740G3 - Glue Gun & Glitter

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 51.52Rank 22Record 5-5-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

11329G-Force

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 79.43Rank 35Record 2-8-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

11332Sunrise

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 37.78Rank 31Record 3-7-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 606.1 ±43.5

4320The Joker

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX -7.42Rank 34Record 2-8-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

3075Ha-Dream Team

Provisional

Season APEX 298.4Event APEX 182.43Rank 4Record 8-2-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

7039❌⭕

Provisional

Season APEX 307.7Event APEX 187.56Rank 7Record 6-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6740, 11329, 11332

/ 100 compat

Projected

168.7 pts

~0.8 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 6740, 11329, 11332

Auto

21.3 13%

Teleop

96.1 59%

Endgame

45.1 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 19%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4320, 3075, 7039

/ 100 compat

Projected

362.6 pts

~2.8 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 4320, 3075, 7039

Auto

91.5 25%

Teleop

185.1 51%

Endgame

89.4 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 19%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 0.81 · Blue 2.8

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score168.7pts

Blue projected score362.6pts

Red win probability8%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 43%, blue 55%

Supercharged bonusred 19%, blue 39%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -193.8
Score range: 107–425
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 559 vs event baseline 342.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

0Season APEX606.1

21.3Auto91.5

96.1Teleop185.1

45.1Endgame89.4

47Consistency35

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	25	119
teleop	23	290
endgame	18	54
foul	0	30
total	66	493

Result

Final score

66 – 493

Prediction correct · off by 116.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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