Qualification · Qualification 30

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

134.87 – 205.81

29%71%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

384 – 163

Prediction missed · off by 146 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 298.4 ±57.8

11480EXODUS

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 2.41Rank 27Record 4-6-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

11332Sunrise

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX -23.33Rank 31Record 3-7-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

3075Ha-Dream Team

Provisional

Season APEX 298.4Event APEX 155.79Rank 4Record 8-2-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±69.3

4586PRIMO

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX -8.23Rank 30Record 3-7-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

2230General Angels

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 77.37Rank 15Record 6-4-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

2212The Spikes

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 136.67Rank 21Record 4-6-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11480, 11332, 3075

/ 100 compat

Projected

134.9 pts

~1.4 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 11480, 11332, 3075

Auto

48.0 32%

Teleop

88.4 59%

Endgame

14.1 9%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 33%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4586, 2230, 2212

/ 100 compat

Projected

205.8 pts

~2.1 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 4586, 2230, 2212

Auto

65.0 33%

Teleop

100.9 51%

Endgame

30.3 15%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 33%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 1.35 · Blue 2.11

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score134.9pts

Blue projected score205.8pts

Red win probability29%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 42%, blue 46%

Supercharged bonusred 33%, blue 21%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -70.9
Score range: 74–267
Upset likelihood: 29%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 547 vs event baseline 340.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

298.4Season APEX0

48Auto65

88.4Teleop100.9

14.1Endgame30.3

100Consistency132

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	101	53
teleop	156	69
endgame	127	41
foul	0	0
total	384	163

Result

Final score

384 – 163

Prediction missed · off by 146 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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