Qualification · Qualification 23

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

394.69 – 162.94

95%5%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

368 – 175

Prediction correct · off by 19.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±69.3

2230General Angels

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 84.14Rank 15Record 6-4-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

8175Piece of Mind

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 120.1Rank 18Record 5-5-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

78458BIT

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 190.45Rank 23Record 3-7-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±69.3

1937Elysium

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX -50.4Rank 32Record 3-7-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

3065Jatt High School

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 148.95Rank 12Record 6-4-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

11329G-Force

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 64.39Rank 35Record 2-8-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2230, 8175, 7845

/ 100 compat

Projected

394.7 pts

~2.8 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 2230, 8175, 7845

Auto

104.7 27%

Teleop

183.7 47%

Endgame

99.7 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 29%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1937, 3065, 11329

/ 100 compat

Projected

162.9 pts

~0.7 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 1937, 3065, 11329

Auto

30.4 19%

Teleop

108.1 68%

Endgame

19.9 13%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 29%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 2.76 · Blue 0.74

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score394.7pts

Blue projected score162.9pts

Red win probability95%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 56%, blue 41%

Supercharged bonusred 29%, blue 20%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 231.8
Score range: 100–458
Upset likelihood: 5%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 543 vs event baseline 349.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

0Season APEX0

104.7Auto30.4

183.7Teleop108.1

99.7Endgame19.9

33Consistency128

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	66	17
teleop	239	97
endgame	63	61
foul	0	0
total	368	175

Result

Final score

368 – 175

Prediction correct · off by 19.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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