Qualification · Qualification 18

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

62.65 – 371.97

2%98%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

101 – 674

Prediction correct · off by 170.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±69.3

3835Vulcan

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 21.61Rank 36Record 1-9-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

2230General Angels

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 85.22Rank 15Record 6-4-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

6740G3 - Glue Gun & Glitter

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX -44.18Rank 22Record 5-5-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 442.4 ±57.4

8175Piece of Mind

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 73.7Rank 18Record 5-5-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

1690Orbit

Season APEX 442.4Event APEX 188.51Rank 1Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 80

3065Jatt High School

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 109.76Rank 12Record 6-4-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3835, 2230, 6740

/ 100 compat

Projected

62.7 pts

~0.7 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 3835, 2230, 6740

Auto

18.1 36%

Teleop

36.3 73%

Endgame

-4.5 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 18%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8175, 1690, 3065

/ 100 compat

Projected

372 pts

~2.9 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 8175, 1690, 3065

Auto

72.6 20%

Teleop

211.9 57%

Endgame

85.2 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 18%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 0.66 · Blue 2.92

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score62.7pts

Blue projected score372pts

Red win probability2%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 42%, blue 54%

Supercharged bonusred 18%, blue 40%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -309.3
Score range: 4–431
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 775 vs event baseline 326.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

0Season APEX442.4

18.1Auto72.6

36.3Teleop211.9

-4.5Endgame85.2

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	44	113
teleop	31	385
endgame	26	166
foul	0	10
total	101	674

Result

Final score

101 – 674

Prediction correct · off by 170.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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