Playoff · Playoff Match 8 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

287.91 – 98.79

91%9%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

323 – 36

Prediction correct · off by 48.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 311.1 ±15.6

6431NoktaParantez

Season APEX 154Event APEX 146.85Rank 2Record 7-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8859Bora Robotics

Season APEX 96.1Event APEX 117.99Rank 3Record 6-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8182Loth Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 61Event APEX 23.07Rank 30Record 2-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 193.1 ±19.7

6402GÖKTÜRKLER

Provisional

Season APEX 52.3Event APEX 3.38Rank 27Record 3-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

9473CYGNUS ROBOTICS

Season APEX 23.1Event APEX 47.35Rank 4Record 7-1-0Status establishedConfidence 80

4972BORUSAN ROBOTICS

Provisional

Season APEX 117.7Event APEX 48.06Rank 10Record 5-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6431, 8859, 8182

/ 100 compat

Projected

287.9 pts

~2.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 6431, 8859, 8182

Auto

29.8 11%

Teleop

176.2 63%

Endgame

73.0 26%

Strengths

· 6431 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6402, 9473, 4972

/ 100 compat

Projected

98.8 pts

~0.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 6402, 9473, 4972

Auto

19.4 19%

Teleop

62.5 62%

Endgame

19.6 19%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.22 · Blue 0.46

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score287.9pts

Blue projected score98.8pts

Red win probability91%

Event bonus sample124alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 33%, blue 24%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 189.1
Score range: 79–308
Upset likelihood: 9%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 359 vs event baseline 112.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

311.1Season APEX193.1

29.8Auto19.4

176.2Teleop62.5

73Endgame19.6

0Consistency35

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	40	18
teleop	225	15
endgame	58	3
foul	0	0
total	323	36

Result

Final score

323 – 36

Prediction correct · off by 48.9 pts