Playoff · Playoff Match 7 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

325.74 – 130.61

92%8%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

411 – 25

Prediction correct · off by 95.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 454.1 ±11

11300ZENITH

Season APEX 43.6Event APEX 12.06Rank 35Record 2-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9025Mechameleons

Season APEX 132.2Event APEX 106.88Rank 5Record 6-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8159Golden Horn

Season APEX 278.3Event APEX 206.8Rank 1Record 7-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 129.2 ±22.6

10243Yücel Boru ANATOLIAN WOLVES

Provisional

Season APEX 36.7Event APEX 61.21Rank 7Record 5-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 69

6228MAT Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 46.4Event APEX 49.22Rank 6Record 6-2-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

8263Robin

Provisional

Season APEX 46.1Event APEX 20.18Rank 22Record 3-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11300, 9025, 8159

/ 100 compat

Projected

325.7 pts

~2.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 11300, 9025, 8159

Auto

57.3 19%

Teleop

171.5 56%

Endgame

77.2 25%

Strengths

· 8159 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 24%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10243, 6228, 8263

/ 100 compat

Projected

130.6 pts

~0.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 10243, 6228, 8263

Auto

13.7 11%

Teleop

80.0 63%

Endgame

32.3 26%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 24%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.12 · Blue 0.49

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score325.7pts

Blue projected score130.6pts

Red win probability92%

Event bonus sample124alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 24%, blue 29%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 195.1
Score range: 111–346
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 436 vs event baseline 110.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

454.1Season APEX129.2

57.3Auto13.7

171.5Teleop80

77.2Endgame32.3

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	85	15
teleop	218	0
endgame	108	0
foul	0	10
total	411	25

Result

Final score

411 – 25

Prediction correct · off by 95.4 pts