Playoff · Playoff Match 2 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

151.38 – 54.88

77%23%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

77 – 13

Prediction correct · off by 58.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 129.2 ±22.6

10243Yücel Boru ANATOLIAN WOLVES

Provisional

Season APEX 36.7Event APEX 65.54Rank 7Record 5-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 69

6228MAT Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 46.4Event APEX 58.17Rank 6Record 6-2-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

8263Robin

Provisional

Season APEX 46.1Event APEX 27.67Rank 22Record 3-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 129.1 ±20.3

5655KelRot

Provisional

Season APEX 59.9Event APEX 16.44Rank 28Record 2-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

6025Adroit Androids

Season APEX 41.9Event APEX 33.77Rank 11Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 77

6038ITOBOT

Season APEX 27.3Event APEX 4.67Rank 8Record 6-2-0Status establishedConfidence 76

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10243, 6228, 8263

/ 100 compat

Projected

151.4 pts

~1.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 10243, 6228, 8263

Auto

15.5 11%

Teleop

91.3 63%

Endgame

37.9 26%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5655, 6025, 6038

/ 100 compat

Projected

54.9 pts

~0.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: 5655, 6025, 6038

Auto

-1.0 0%

Teleop

26.3 62%

Endgame

16.8 40%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.87 · Blue 0.74

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score151.4pts

Blue projected score54.9pts

Red win probability77%

Event bonus sample124alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 29%, blue 23%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 96.5
Score range: 35–171
Upset likelihood: 23%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 90 vs event baseline 112.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

129.2Season APEX129.1

15.5Auto-1

91.3Teleop26.3

37.9Endgame16.8

0Consistency62

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	12	10
teleop	51	3
endgame	14	0
foul	0	0
total	77	13

Result

Final score

77 – 13

Prediction correct · off by 58.1 pts