Playoff · Playoff Match 13 R5

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

273.7 – 153.53

82%18%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

202 – 73

Prediction correct · off by 76.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 311.1 ±15.6

6431NoktaParantez

Season APEX 154Event APEX 141.91Rank 2Record 7-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8859Bora Robotics

Season APEX 96.1Event APEX 114.3Rank 3Record 6-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8182Loth Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 61Event APEX 17.49Rank 30Record 2-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 282.3 ±18.1

9545Caracal Robotics

Season APEX 192.5Event APEX 48.93Rank 14Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9160YAL THUNDERS

Provisional

Season APEX 59.3Event APEX 46.98Rank 13Record 4-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

10246ISTAF Team Infinitech

Season APEX 30.5Event APEX 57.62Rank 18Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 77

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6431, 8859, 8182

/ 100 compat

Projected

273.7 pts

~2.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 6431, 8859, 8182

Auto

34.2 13%

Teleop

165.5 63%

Endgame

63.6 24%

Strengths

· 6431 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9545, 9160, 10246

/ 100 compat

Projected

153.5 pts

~0.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9545, 9160, 10246

Auto

20.0 14%

Teleop

81.2 59%

Endgame

37.1 27%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.02 · Blue 0.62

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score273.7pts

Blue projected score153.5pts

Red win probability82%

Event bonus sample124alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 33%, blue 22%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 120.2
Score range: 133–295
Upset likelihood: 18%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 275 vs event baseline 115.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

311.1Season APEX282.3

34.2Auto20

165.5Teleop81.2

63.6Endgame37.1

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	38	20
teleop	59	5
endgame	15	33
foul	90	15
total	202	73

Result

Final score

202 – 73

Prediction correct · off by 76.1 pts