Playoff · Playoff Match 12 R4

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

158.92 – 123.14

61%39%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

124 – 66

Prediction correct · off by 46 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 282.3 ±18.1

9545Caracal Robotics

Season APEX 192.5Event APEX 50.65Rank 14Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9160YAL THUNDERS

Provisional

Season APEX 59.3Event APEX 49.02Rank 13Record 4-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

10246ISTAF Team Infinitech

Season APEX 30.5Event APEX 59.25Rank 18Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 77

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 78.6 ±21.1

9132Roborsa Başakşehir

Season APEX -4.5Event APEX 15.71Rank 23Record 3-5-0Status establishedConfidence 83

6228MAT Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 46.4Event APEX 49.56Rank 6Record 6-2-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

10243Yücel Boru ANATOLIAN WOLVES

Provisional

Season APEX 36.7Event APEX 57.87Rank 7Record 5-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 69

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9545, 9160, 10246

/ 100 compat

Projected

158.9 pts

~1.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9545, 9160, 10246

Auto

20.5 15%

Teleop

81.3 58%

Endgame

39.2 28%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 22%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9132, 6228, 10243

/ 100 compat

Projected

123.1 pts

~1.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9132, 6228, 10243

Auto

15.6 14%

Teleop

63.6 56%

Endgame

33.9 30%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 22%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.47 · Blue 1.11

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score158.9pts

Blue projected score123.1pts

Red win probability61%

Event bonus sample124alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 22%, blue 29%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 35.8
Score range: 102–180
Upset likelihood: 39%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 190 vs event baseline 116.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

282.3Season APEX78.6

20.5Auto15.6

81.3Teleop63.6

39.2Endgame33.9

0Consistency3

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	17	13
teleop	81	38
endgame	26	15
foul	0	0
total	124	66

Result

Final score

124 – 66

Prediction correct · off by 46 pts