Playoff · Playoff Match 10 R3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

82.85 – 161.06

27%73%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

108 – 146

Prediction correct · off by 20.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 193.1 ±19.7

6402GÖKTÜRKLER

Provisional

Season APEX 52.3Event APEX -1.41Rank 27Record 3-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

9473CYGNUS ROBOTICS

Season APEX 23.1Event APEX 41.47Rank 4Record 7-1-0Status establishedConfidence 80

4972BORUSAN ROBOTICS

Provisional

Season APEX 117.7Event APEX 42.79Rank 10Record 5-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 282.3 ±18.1

9545Caracal Robotics

Season APEX 192.5Event APEX 50.55Rank 14Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9160YAL THUNDERS

Provisional

Season APEX 59.3Event APEX 50.28Rank 13Record 4-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

10246ISTAF Team Infinitech

Season APEX 30.5Event APEX 60.23Rank 18Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 77

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6402, 9473, 4972

/ 100 compat

Projected

82.9 pts

~0.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 6402, 9473, 4972

Auto

19.0 22%

Teleop

50.9 60%

Endgame

14.8 17%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 24%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9545, 9160, 10246

/ 100 compat

Projected

161.1 pts

~1.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9545, 9160, 10246

Auto

20.7 15%

Teleop

82.1 59%

Endgame

36.4 26%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 24%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.83 · Blue 1.71

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score82.9pts

Blue projected score161.1pts

Red win probability27%

Event bonus sample124alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 24%, blue 22%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -78.2
Score range: 62–182
Upset likelihood: 27%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 254 vs event baseline 114.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

193.1Season APEX282.3

19Auto20.7

50.9Teleop82.1

14.8Endgame36.4

37Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	28	20
teleop	28	77
endgame	37	49
foul	15	0
total	108	146

Result

Final score

108 – 146

Prediction correct · off by 20.1 pts