Qualification · Qualification 9

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

41.58 – 86

37%63%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

157 – 189

Prediction correct · off by 109.2 points

Limited current-season data (8 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 200.5 ±22

4972BORUSAN ROBOTICS

Provisional

Season APEX 117.7Event APEX 21.42Rank 10Record 5-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

10243Yücel Boru ANATOLIAN WOLVES

Provisional

Season APEX 36.7Event APEX 18.01Rank 7Record 5-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 69

8263Robin

Provisional

Season APEX 46.1Event APEX 2.15Rank 22Record 3-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 291.2 ±18.1

6025Adroit Androids

Season APEX 41.9Event APEX 16.57Rank 11Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 77

7050SARNIC

Provisional

Season APEX 95.3Event APEX 58Rank 15Record 4-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

6431NoktaParantez

Season APEX 154Event APEX 11.43Rank 2Record 7-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4972, 10243, 8263

/ 100 compat

Projected

41.6 pts

~1.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 4972, 10243, 8263

Auto

9.2 22%

Teleop

26.7 65%

Endgame

5.3 13%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 26%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6025, 7050, 6431

/ 100 compat

Projected

86 pts

~1.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: 6025, 7050, 6431

Auto

23.1 28%

Teleop

58.1 69%

Endgame

2.8 3%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 26%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.03 · Blue 1.66

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score41.6pts

Blue projected score86pts

Red win probability37%

Event bonus sample124alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 26%, blue 34%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -44.4
Score range: 29–99
Upset likelihood: 37%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 346 vs event baseline 72.5.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

200.5Season APEX291.2

9.2Auto23.1

26.7Teleop58.1

5.3Endgame2.8

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	6	19
teleop	106	119
endgame	40	46
foul	5	5
total	157	189

Result

Final score

157 – 189

Prediction correct · off by 109.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree