Qualification · Qualification 7

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

35.9 – 68.85

40%60%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

60 – 19

Prediction missed · off by 37 points

Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 144.6 ±21.4

10623AY YILDIZ ROBOTİM

Provisional

Season APEX 51.2Event APEX 13.43Rank 29Record 2-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

10521ERA Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 54.7Event APEX 9.14Rank 19Record 4-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

11365Ignite Robotics

Season APEX 38.7Event APEX 13.33Rank 25Record 3-5-0Status establishedConfidence 76

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 119.9 ±19.2

10932Tulpar

Provisional

Season APEX 72.1Event APEX 12Rank 24Record 3-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

6402GÖKTÜRKLER

Provisional

Season APEX 52.3Event APEX 9.71Rank 27Record 3-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

9132Roborsa Başakşehir

Season APEX -4.5Event APEX 47.14Rank 23Record 3-5-0Status establishedConfidence 83

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10623, 10521, 11365

/ 100 compat

Projected

35.9 pts

~1.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 10623, 10521, 11365

Auto

7.1 21%

Teleop

21.1 61%

Endgame

6.3 18%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 21%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10932, 6402, 9132

/ 100 compat

Projected

68.9 pts

~1.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 10932, 6402, 9132

Auto

14.6 22%

Teleop

42.3 63%

Endgame

10.6 16%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 21%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.04 · Blue 1.42

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score35.9pts

Blue projected score68.9pts

Red win probability40%

Event bonus sample124alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 21%, blue 18%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -32.9
Score range: 22–83
Upset likelihood: 40%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 79 vs event baseline 77.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

144.6Season APEX119.9

7.1Auto14.6

21.1Teleop42.3

6.3Endgame10.6

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	16	19
teleop	27	0
endgame	12	0
foul	5	0
total	60	19

Result

Final score

60 – 19

Prediction missed · off by 37 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree