Qualification · Qualification 47

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

76.28 – 337.23

4%96%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

32 – 378

Prediction correct · off by 42.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 204.8 ±19

6228MAT Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 46.4Event APEX 65.61Rank 6Record 6-2-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

6402GÖKTÜRKLER

Provisional

Season APEX 52.3Event APEX -1.78Rank 27Record 3-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

6948EAGLES

Season APEX 106.1Event APEX 12.45Rank 21Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 382.3 ±11.7

9025Mechameleons

Season APEX 132.2Event APEX 85.96Rank 5Record 6-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6431NoktaParantez

Season APEX 154Event APEX 139.56Rank 2Record 7-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8859Bora Robotics

Season APEX 96.1Event APEX 111.71Rank 3Record 6-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6228, 6402, 6948

/ 100 compat

Projected

76.3 pts

~0.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: 6228, 6402, 6948

Auto

19.0 30%

Teleop

21.7 34%

Endgame

22.3 35%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 20%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9025, 6431, 8859

/ 100 compat

Projected

337.2 pts

~2.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9025, 6431, 8859

Auto

37.9 12%

Teleop

198.6 62%

Endgame

82.5 26%

Strengths

· 6431 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 20%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.32 · Blue 2.45

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score76.3pts

Blue projected score337.2pts

Red win probability4%

Event bonus sample124alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 20%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -261
Score range: 57–356
Upset likelihood: 4%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 410 vs event baseline 106.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

204.8Season APEX382.3

19Auto37.9

21.7Teleop198.6

22.3Endgame82.5

71Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	63
teleop	5	257
endgame	13	58
foul	0	0
total	32	378

Result

Final score

32 – 378

Prediction correct · off by 42.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree