Qualification · Qualification 46

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

98.42 – 248.28

13%87%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

109 – 194

Prediction correct · off by 32.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 70.9 ±19.9

11365Ignite Robotics

Season APEX 38.7Event APEX 33.57Rank 25Record 3-5-0Status establishedConfidence 76

9132Roborsa Başakşehir

Season APEX -4.5Event APEX 0.3Rank 23Record 3-5-0Status establishedConfidence 83

10243Yücel Boru ANATOLIAN WOLVES

Provisional

Season APEX 36.7Event APEX 64.55Rank 7Record 5-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 69

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 338.2 ±42.5

9991Off-Season Demo Team 9991

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 21.92Rank 16Record 4-4-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

8159Golden Horn

Season APEX 278.3Event APEX 197.21Rank 1Record 7-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5655KelRot

Provisional

Season APEX 59.9Event APEX 29.15Rank 28Record 2-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11365, 9132, 10243

/ 100 compat

Projected

98.4 pts

~0.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 11365, 9132, 10243

Auto

10.4 11%

Teleop

60.2 67%

Endgame

19.9 22%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 23%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9991, 8159, 5655

/ 100 compat

Projected

248.3 pts

~2.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9991, 8159, 5655

Auto

45.8 21%

Teleop

114.1 52%

Endgame

60.8 28%

Strengths

· 8159 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 23%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.53 · Blue 2.11

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score98.4pts

Blue projected score248.3pts

Red win probability13%

Event bonus sample124alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 23%, blue 34%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -149.9
Score range: 79–267
Upset likelihood: 13%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 303 vs event baseline 105.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

70.9Season APEX338.2

10.4Auto45.8

60.2Teleop114.1

19.9Endgame60.8

44Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	15
teleop	47	119
endgame	21	60
foul	20	0
total	109	194

Result

Final score

109 – 194

Prediction correct · off by 32.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree